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Friday, May 1, 2009

Technical View

Bank Negara: Tan Seri Dr Zeti Akhtar Aziz, pointed out that OPR had been
“front-loaded”. Zeti indicated that, there will not be any further OPR rate cuts
provided in improvement is seen in the second half of the year and further
improvement going into next year. Zeti expects the global and domestic
economies to improve by the second half of the year. (Source: The Edge Daily)
Axiata: Announcement of Headline KPIs for FY08. Axiata failed to achieve its
FY08 KPIs targets, citing increasing competition in the mobile market of Axiata’s
operating countries, currency volatility, liquidity shortages, and fluctuation of
interest rates. Axiata did not meet its target for revenue growth, EBITDA margin
and ROE for FY08. (Source: Bursa Announcement)
Ramunia: Currently engaging in preliminary discussion with Sime Darby
Engineering Sdn Bhd as a strategic partner. Ramunia and Sime Darby
clarified in an announcement that, they are in engaged in a discussion on a
potential corporate transaction as part of Ramunia’s search for a strategic
partner. (Source: Bursa Announcement)
Air Asia: Eyeing new associates in the Philippines and Vietnam. Datuk Seri
Tony Fernandes is keen on setting up affiliate airlines in the two countries. He
envisioned all AirAsia affiliates in Asean to become a single entity, ultimately.
(Source: Business Times)

G-7: Says strength of recovery depends on clean-up of banks' toxic
assets. In warning that the world economy could still take another turn for the
worse, the finance ministers and central bankers who met over the weekend in
Washington singled out the banks' impaired balance sheets as the biggest threat
to a sustainable recovery. Their remarks indicate it will be critical to follow
through on commitments to deploy taxpayer funds to buy distressed assets,
even as some gauges of financial stress ease. U.S. officials aim to finance the
purchases of as much as USD 1tr of loans and securities, and Germany is
pushing a plan to remove EUR 853b (USD 1.1tr) from balance sheets. (Source:
Bloomberg)
Mexico: Swine flu outbreak may deepen economic decline. The outbreak of
deadly swine flu may curtail tourism and compel shoppers to stay home, further
damaging an economy already reeling because of a U.S. recession that has cut
demand for exports. President Felipe Calderon closed Mexico City schools until
May 6, shut public events and declared emergency powers to order quarantines
to fight the flu, which has killed as many as 103 in Mexico. Finance Minister
Agustin Carstens said there’s “high potential” the outbreak will disrupt the
economy, with hotels and restaurants being the hardest hit. (Source: Bloomberg)
Germany: GfK consumer confidence holds steady for a third month in May
as slower inflation boosted household purchasing power and the recession
showed first signs of easing. GfK AG’s confidence index for, based on a survey
of about 2,000 people, was unchanged from April at 2.5%, the Nurembergbased
market-research company said in a statement. German business and
investor confidence increased this month on hopes that interest-rate cuts and
government stimulus packages will lift the economy out of its worst recession in
over six decades. Germany’s leading economic institutes predict the economy,
Europe’s largest, will shrink by 6% YoY this year. (Source: Bloomberg)
Ireland: Banks may report EUR 22.5b of loan losses. Ireland’s government is
preparing to buy EUR 90b (USD 119b) of property loans in a bid to stave off
nationalizing its biggest lenders. It may still end up with majority control of the
country’s banks. Companies led by Allied Irish Banks Plc may get 25% less than
the face value of their loans under the proposal from the National Asset
Management Agency, according to the median estimate of seven analysts
surveyed by Bloomberg News. That implies losses of EUR 22.5b. Analyst
estimates for the discount ranged from 15% to 30%. (Source: Bloomberg)
Japan: Cuts economic forecast to record 3.3% YoY decline for 2009 as
exports and corporate spending tumble at an unprecedented pace. The Cabinet
Office cut the forecast for the year started April 1 from a January prediction for
zero growth. Finance Minister Kaoru Yosano told parliament that the economy
remains in a “crisis” as the slump in exports and industrial output take a toll on
employment and companies struggle to raise funds. The world’s second-largest
economy would contract as much as 5.2% YoY without Prime Minister Taro
Aso’s JPY 15.4tr (USD 159b) stimulus plan, funding of which was approved by
the Cabinet, the government said. (Source: Bloomberg)
Japan: Pledges record JPY 13.9tr (USD 143b) budget for stimulus aimed at
pulling the nation out of its worst recession since World War II. The government
will sell JPY 10.8tr in new bonds to pay for most of the extra budget, according
to a proposal released by the Finance Ministry. The extra debt sale will bring the
government’s new bond sales for the year ending March 31 to a record JPY
44.1tr. Bond yields rose to the highest in almost five months on April 10, the day
Aso unveiled the record JPY 15.4tr stimulus spending. (Source: Bloomberg)

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